Nate Silver predicts Prop. 1 will be defeated in Maine. I sure hope he’s right. This is the same Nate Silver who predicted last November’s elections with pretty much 100% accuracy, at least for the president and senate. I didn’t check the numbers for the house. He’s giving 5 to 2 odds that 1 will be defeated.
I randomly picked 2020 as the year by which I predict same-sex marriage is a done deal. If 1 loses, I’m thinking it’ll be more like 2015. C’mon, Maine! Let’s get this stuff fixed!
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